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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
Estoril

Portimonense
1 - 0
Estoril

Pedrao (31')
Carlinhos (21'), Varela (33'), Relvas (36'), Dener (58'), Silvestre (70'), Tornich (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tavares (7'), Carlos (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Covilha 1-4 Portimonense
Friday, October 20 at 7pm in Taca de Portugal

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sintrense 0-5 Estoril
Sunday, October 22 at 11am in Taca de Portugal

We said: Portimonense 2-1 Estoril Praia

 Neither team can boast impressive performances in the Primeira Liga this season, but Portimonense enter this match as favourites with home field advantage on their side. The 5-0 away win in the Taca de Portugal may have given Estoril confidence, but their away record this season suggests it will be very difficult to pick up at least a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawEstoril Praia
27.76% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 24.66% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 47.57% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.3% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.72% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)47.28% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)69.51% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.07% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)30.93% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.77% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)67.23% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)19.94% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.91% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)52.09% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 27.76%
    Estoril Praia 47.57%
    Draw 24.66%
PortimonenseDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 7.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 6.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 27.76%
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 6.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.66%
0-1 @ 9.94% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.41% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 8.02% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 47.57%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Estoril

Portimonense
100%
Draw
0.0%
Estoril Praia
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 28
Estoril
0-1
Portimonense
Cariello (79')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 11
Portimonense
1-1
Estoril
Junior (88' pen.)
Erison (22')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 26
Estoril
2-0
Portimonense
Mboula (29'), Geraldes (46')
Ferraresi (57'), Franco (84'), Rosier (90+3')

Da Costa (36'), Sa (55'), Junior (90')
> Preview
Oct 24, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 9
Portimonense
0-2
Estoril

Junior (62')
Franco (59'), Lourenco (72')
Soria (68'), Gamboa (84'), Lourenco (85')
> Preview
Apr 14, 2018 4pm
Portimonense
0-1
Estoril

Sa (84')
Halliche (42')
Ribeiro (77'), Dankler (95'), Fonseca (97')
Andrade (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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