Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals
Mar 3, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Porto2 - 3Braga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Braga had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Braga |
| 50.21% | 24.85% | 24.93% |
| Both teams to score 52.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.84% | 50.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.87% | 72.12% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.01% | 19.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.83% | 52.17% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.26% | 34.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.53% | 71.46% |
| Score Analysis |
Porto 50.2%
Braga 24.93%
Draw 24.85%
| Porto | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 9% 3-1 @ 5.11% 3-0 @ 4.83% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.8% Total : 50.2% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.94% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 7.34% 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 3.88% 1-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.11% Total : 24.93% |
How you voted: Porto vs Braga
Porto
81.1%Draw
7.5%Braga
11.3%53
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2020 9.15pm
Gameweek 34
Braga
2-1
Porto
Horta (54'), Fransergio (66')
Palhinha (45'), Paulinho (50'), Fransergio (70'), Magalhaes (80'), Horta (90')
Palhinha (45'), Paulinho (50'), Fransergio (70'), Magalhaes (80'), Horta (90')
Jan 17, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 17
Porto
1-2
Braga
Fransergio (5'), Paulinho (75')
Fransergio (6'), Luis (42'), Esgaio (65'), Horta (65'), Palhinha (68'), Magalhaes (83')
Fransergio (6'), Luis (42'), Esgaio (65'), Horta (65'), Palhinha (68'), Magalhaes (83')
