Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%).