Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Oleksandriya would win this match.