Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dnipro-1 in this match.