Cerro

2 - 3

Maldonado

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.