Fenix

1 - 2

Nacional

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 58.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 18.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Fenix win it was 1-0 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.