MX23RW : Wednesday, January 8 06:12:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2023 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
0 - 1
Pontypridd


Thorn (43'), Hogan (82'), Davies (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Davies (61')
Davies (45+3'), Rees (65'), Rees (65'), Margetson (75')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 0-0 Aberystwyth
Saturday, August 26 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Pontypridd Town AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-0 Pen-y-Bont
Friday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Pontypridd Town AFC in this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawPontypridd Town AFC
31.97% (0.342 0.34) 25.31% (-0.055 -0.05) 42.71% (-0.287 -0.29)
Both teams to score 55.58% (0.325 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.99% (0.357 0.36)48.01% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.82% (0.328 0.33)70.18% (-0.33 -0.33)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (0.40000000000001 0.4)28.37% (-0.401 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89% (0.501 0.5)64.11% (-0.503 -0.5)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.59% (0.018000000000001 0.02)22.41% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.07% (0.025000000000006 0.03)55.93% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 31.97%
    Pontypridd Town AFC 42.71%
    Draw 25.31%
Aberystwyth TownDrawPontypridd Town AFC
1-0 @ 8.01% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.05% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.12% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 1% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.97%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.36% (-0.095 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.049 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 9.51% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-2 @ 8.96% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.11% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.47% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.55% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 42.71%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 7
Pontypridd
1-1
Aberystwyth
Davies (32')
Turner (90+6')
Nov 18, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 15
Aberystwyth
2-1
Pontypridd
Evans (4', 32')
Green (31')
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Pontypridd
2-1
Aberystwyth
Jones (26'), Ahmun (75')
Green (58')
Darlington (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints21160559263348
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont21145240152547
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest21116428101839
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU219573227532
5Bala TownBala Town2061132619729
6Barry Town UnitedBarry218583137-629
7Caernarfon TownCaernarfon208483035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay217593224826
9Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2162132744-1720
10Newtown AFCNewtown2154122344-2119
11Briton Ferry2153132744-1718
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2142151747-3014
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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