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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 2
Pontypridd

Wynne (59')
Donohue (31'), Edwards (33'), Tibbetts (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Simpson (50' og.), Cummings (72')
Wright (31'), Cummings (39'), Rees (64'), Williams (72'), Davies (84'), Ahmun (90+5'), Ratcliffe (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Flint Town 0-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, April 8 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Pontypridd Town AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-0 Pontypridd
Friday, April 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Pontypridd Town AFC in this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawPontypridd Town AFC
34.97% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 24.88% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03) 40.15% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 57.95% (0.12 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.68% (0.15 0.15)45.32% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.34% (0.143 0.14)67.66% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76% (0.117 0.12)25.24% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.01% (0.158 0.16)59.99% (-0.153 -0.15)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51% (0.040999999999997 0.04)22.49% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.95% (0.061 0.06)56.05% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 34.97%
    Pontypridd Town AFC 40.15%
    Draw 24.88%
Caernarfon TownDrawPontypridd Town AFC
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.82% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.68% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 34.97%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.88%
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.32% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 40.15%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Pontypridd
1-0
Caernarfon
Margetson (39')
Lewis (87'), Cummings (90+2')

Donohue (45+1'), Edwards (90'), Hughes (90+2')
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Pontypridd
3-1
Caernarfon
Evans (37'), Wright (74'), Williams (90+5')
Thomas (60')
Gosset (31')
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Pontypridd
Bradley (62'), Faux (65')
Cartwright (33'), Gosset (68')

Woodiwiss (30')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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