Bala Town

4 - 1

Pen-y-Bont

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.