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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 14, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
3 - 2
Barry

Lloyd (35' pen., 44' pen.), Jones (82')
Clarke (49'), Lloyd (49')
FT(HT: 2-1)
George (25'), Margetson (51')
Kavanagh (14'), Snaith (33'), Rees (42'), Sainty (43')
Yorwerth (34')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Barry Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-1 Caernarfon
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Barry Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 2-1 Cardiff MU
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawBarry Town United
44.18% (0.147 0.15) 23.96% (0.148 0.15) 31.85% (-0.302 -0.3)
Both teams to score 60.2% (-0.684 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (-0.838 -0.84)41.95% (0.831 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.64% (-0.848 -0.85)64.35% (0.84 0.84)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78% (-0.28099999999999 -0.28)19.22% (0.274 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.08% (-0.459 -0.46)50.91% (0.452 0.45)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52% (-0.59 -0.59)25.48% (0.583 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68% (-0.809 -0.81)60.32% (0.80099999999999 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 44.18%
    Barry Town United 31.85%
    Draw 23.96%
Caernarfon TownDrawBarry Town United
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.08% (0.23 0.23)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.133 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 44.18%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.23% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.18 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.138 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.85%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Barry
1-1
Caernarfon
Snaith (10')
George (79')
Lloyd (9')
Nov 19, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Caernarfon
2-3
Barry
Lloyd (12'), Davies (32')
Mooney (33'), Gosset (44'), Maher (79')
Mooney (38')
Bright (26'), Cotterill (56'), Hulbert (90+6')
Cotterill (44'), Blythe (63'), Sainty (69'), McLaggon (90+6')
Sep 30, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Barry
0-3
Caernarfon

Press (76'), Cotterill (90+4'), Cotterill (90+4')
Clarke (27'), Richard Williams (41'), Davies (71')
Apr 9, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 7
Barry
1-1
Caernarfon
McLaggon (45+1' pen.)
Hood (17'), Kavanagh (61')
Harrison (62')
Eardley (31'), Morris (43'), (45+2'), Owens (65')
Horan (45')
Feb 26, 2022 12.45pm
Gameweek 22
Barry
1-2
Caernarfon
Cotterill (36')
Green (69')
Hayes (4', 58')
Gosset (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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