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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
vs.
Caernarfon

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 3-2 Connah's Quay
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Next Game: Newtown vs. Connah's Quay
Friday, November 22 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Briton Ferry 0-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Next Game: Caernarfon vs. Barry
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw has a probability of 21.8% and a win for Caernarfon Town has a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it is 1-2 (5.56%).

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
57.3%21.77%20.92%
Both teams to score 57.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.93%41.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.54%63.46%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.87%14.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.22%41.77%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.68%33.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.06%69.93%
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 57.3%
    Caernarfon Town 20.92%
    Draw 21.76%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.91%
1-0 @ 9.21%
2-0 @ 9.01%
3-1 @ 6.46%
3-0 @ 5.88%
3-2 @ 3.55%
4-1 @ 3.16%
4-0 @ 2.88%
4-2 @ 1.74%
5-1 @ 1.24%
5-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 57.3%
1-1 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 5.45%
0-0 @ 4.71%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.76%
1-2 @ 5.56%
0-1 @ 5.17%
0-2 @ 2.84%
1-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 20.92%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 10
Caernarfon
3-1
Connah's Quay
Mendes (18'), Thomas (45+1'), Clarke (56')
Thomas (28'), Sears (85'), Faux (90+7')
Disney (83' pen.)
Marriott (38')
Mar 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Caernarfon
2-1
Connah's Quay
Lloyd (53'), Williams (58')
Donohue (15'), Williams (90+4')
Davies (90+6' pen.)
Roberts (65')
Feb 2, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Connah's Quay
1-1
Caernarfon
Harrington (75')
Bratley (70'), Morris (90+4')
Wilde (59')
Davies (22')
Williams (89')
Oct 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Connah's Quay
6-1
Caernarfon
Franklin (2', 6', 11', 45+2'), Kenny (45+8'), Williams (73')
Kenny (20')
Lloyd (79')
Williams (14'), Maher (54'), Lloyd (90')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
0-4
Connah's Quay

Thomas (37'), Austin (61'), Donohue (71'), Gosset (75')
Poole (10'), Kenny (55'), Davies (70' pen.), Edwards (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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