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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Nov 6, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus

Cardiff MU
0 - 1
Caernarfon


Craven (15'), Roscrow (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thomas (23')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 52.38%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawCaernarfon Town
52.38%23.31%24.3%
Both teams to score 56.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.85%44.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.47%66.53%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.14%16.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.12%46.88%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68%32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.53%68.47%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 52.38%
    Caernarfon Town 24.31%
    Draw 23.31%
Cardiff MUDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.74%
1-0 @ 9.61%
2-0 @ 8.55%
3-1 @ 5.78%
3-0 @ 5.07%
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 2.57%
4-0 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 1.47%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 52.38%
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 5.55%
0-0 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.31%
1-2 @ 6.23%
0-1 @ 6.15%
0-2 @ 3.5%
1-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 24.31%

Head to Head
Sep 18, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Caernarfon
2-0
Cardiff MU
Gosset (28'), Hayes (54')
Bailey (23'), Thomas (64'), Cartwright (71'), Hayes (90+2')

Evans (45')
Mar 27, 2021 2.45pm
Gameweek 21
Caernarfon
3-2
Cardiff MU
Kenny (12'), Hayes (55' pen.), Bickerstaff (81')
Edwards (28'), Edwards (34'), Williams (81'), Williams (90+4')
Edwards (66')
Owen (61'), Evans (90+4' pen.)
Lewis (60')
Oct 3, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 6
Cardiff MU
0-3
Caernarfon
Bradley (34' pen.), Thomas (83'), Jones (88')
(72')
Jan 18, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Cardiff MU
2-0
Caernarfon
Lam (30'), Evans (90')
Evans (39'), Lam (66')

Brookwell (39'), Evans (78')
Gruffydd (61')
Nov 29, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 16
Caernarfon
2-1
Cardiff MU
Jones (28'), Craig (76')
Lam (62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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