MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 19:51:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 1
Cardiff MU

Lock (27'), Hughes (75')
Lock (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Reynolds (90+2')
Veale (65')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 1-0 Briton Ferry
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Bala Town 0-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Newtown AFC in this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
43.31% (0.713 0.71) 23.88% (0.305 0.31) 32.81% (-1.014 -1.01)
Both teams to score 60.92% (-1.486 -1.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.82% (-1.793 -1.79)41.18% (1.797 1.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.42% (-1.848 -1.85)63.57% (1.854 1.85)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.72% (-0.429 -0.43)19.28% (0.434 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.98% (-0.714 -0.71)51.01% (0.718 0.72)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46% (-1.427 -1.43)24.53% (1.432 1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.99% (-2.052 -2.05)59.01% (2.055 2.06)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 43.31%
    Cardiff MU 32.81%
    Draw 23.88%
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.121 0.12)
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.52 0.52)
2-0 @ 6.41% (0.345 0.35)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.144 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 43.31%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.376 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.143 -0.14)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-1 @ 6.65% (0.266 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.209 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.095 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.81%

Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
Gameweek 10
Cardiff MU
1-3
Newtown
Jones (70')
Cadwallader (19'), Jones (90+4')
Smith (14'), Williams (20'), Roberts (52')
Sutton (90')
Mar 9, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Newtown
2-0
Cardiff MU
Mwandwe (49'), Smith (74')
Robles (15'), Mwandwe (35'), Evans (79')

Clubb (14'), Skiverton (31'), Cadwallader (42')
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Cardiff MU
2-1
Newtown
Clubb (50'), H (90+1')
Craven (22')
Williams (53')
Sears (43'), Smith (45+2'), Roberts (89'), Hughes (90+7')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Newtown
2-1
Cardiff MU
Sears (17'), Williams (31')
Cowans (84'), Roberts (89')
Craven (42')
Clubb (88'), McCarthy (90+3')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Newtown
1-2
Cardiff MU
Jones (49')
Jones (54'), Evans (80' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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