MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 13:28:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Apr 8, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
0 - 2
Connah's Quay


Price (29'), Lewis (85')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Williams (32'), Mendes (45+3')
Horan (56')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-3 Pen-y-Bont
Friday, March 31 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 1-2 Connah's Quay
Friday, March 31 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 20.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
20.65% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 25.18% (0.195 0.2) 54.17% (-0.219 -0.22)
Both teams to score 46.28% (-0.515 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.54% (-0.695 -0.7)55.45% (0.693 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.35% (-0.573 -0.57)76.64% (0.572 0.57)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.19% (-0.381 -0.38)41.8% (0.378 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.74% (-0.33 -0.33)78.26% (0.32799999999999 0.33)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.52% (-0.364 -0.36)20.47% (0.363 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.05% (-0.579 -0.58)52.94% (0.576 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 20.65%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 54.16%
    Draw 25.17%
Cardiff MUDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 7.46% (0.122 0.12)
2-1 @ 5.16% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.26% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 20.65%
1-1 @ 11.83% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.56% (0.227 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 13.57% (0.21 0.21)
0-2 @ 10.76% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.39% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-3 @ 5.69% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.96% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-4 @ 2.26% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 54.16%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
2-1
Cardiff MU
Nash (35'), Harrington (90+1')
Bratley (40')
Rees (88')
Rees (13'), Clubb (30'), Lewis (77')
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
2-0
Cardiff MU
Wilde (10', 50')
Horan (28')
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
2-0
Connah's Quay
Jones (22'), Rees (83')
Lewis (17')

Nash (34'), Wilde (49'), Horan (62'), Malkin (65')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
0-0
Cardiff MU

Curran (7'), Horan (49'), Harrington (82')

Lang (90+2'), Roscrow (90+4')
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
1-1
Connah's Quay
Roberts (90')
McCarthy (1'), (72')
McCarthy (72')
Insall (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277


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