Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.