MX23RW : Friday, November 22 02:08:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
3 - 1
Connah's Quay

Evans (24'), Jones (31'), Craven (77')
Owen (28'), Craven (88'), Evans (90+2')
Price (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bratley (87')
Franklin (63'), Disney (89')
Franklin (79')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pontypridd 1-3 Cardiff MU
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 6-1 Caernarfon
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 20.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
20.54% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 24.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 55.32% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.1% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.37% (0.087000000000003 0.09)51.63% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.58% (0.076999999999998 0.08)73.42% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.28% (0.047000000000004 0.05)39.72% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.6% (0.045999999999999 0.05)76.39% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.46% (0.043000000000006 0.04)18.54% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.21% (0.073 0.07)49.79% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 20.54%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 55.32%
    Draw 24.12%
Cardiff MUDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 6.8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 3.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 1.63% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.37% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 20.54%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 12.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 10.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.66% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 5.87% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 5.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.29% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 55.32%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Connah's Quay
4-0
Cardiff MU
Kenny (11'), Nash (40', 90+3'), Wilde (85')
Davies (59')

Samson (90+1')
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Cardiff MU
0-2
Connah's Quay
Williams (32'), Mendes (45+3')
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Connah's Quay
2-1
Cardiff MU
Nash (35'), Harrington (90+1')
Rees (88')
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Connah's Quay
2-0
Cardiff MU
Wilde (10', 50')
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Cardiff MU
2-0
Connah's Quay
Jones (22'), Rees (83')
Lewis (17')

Nash (34'), Wilde (49'), Horan (62'), Malkin (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510


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