Connah's Quay

4 - 0

Cardiff MU

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 18.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.