Connah's Quay

4 - 2

Pen-y-Bont

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 46.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 0-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.