Aberystwyth

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Connah's Quay

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 62.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.