Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Druids had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 0-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Druids win it was 2-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.