MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 23:52:41| >> :600:3838025:3838025:
Women's Champions League | Final
Jun 3, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadi Johan Cruyff

Barcelona
3 - 2
Wolfsburg

Guijarro (48', 50'), Rolfo (70')
Bonmati (33'), Paredes (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pajor (3'), Popp (37')
Hendrich (22'), Jane Jonsdottir (77'), Popp (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Champions League clash between Barcelona Women and Wolfsburg Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona Women

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Last Game: Barcelona 1-1 Chelsea Women
Thursday, April 27 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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Wolfsburg Women

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Last Game: Arsenal Women 2-3 Wolfsburg
Monday, May 1 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Barcelona Women 2-1 Wolfsburg Women

 With both clubs boasting impressive European pedigree, we expect Saturday's final to be a close-fought affair, but we think that Barcelona's technically-gifted midfield could control the pace of the contest and help their side claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 65.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Wolfsburg Women had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 3-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Wolfsburg Women win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
Barcelona WomenDrawWolfsburg Women
65.99% (6.768 6.77) 18.07% (-1.093 -1.09) 15.94% (-5.681 -5.68)
Both teams to score 61% (-7.182 -7.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.22% (-4.355 -4.36)31.78% (4.348 4.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.69% (-5.281 -5.28)53.3% (5.275 5.28)
Barcelona Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.98% (0.30199999999999 0.3)9.01% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.29% (0.732 0.73)30.7% (-0.74 -0.74)
Wolfsburg Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (-8.15 -8.15)32.95% (8.142 8.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47% (-10.146 -10.15)69.53% (10.139 10.14)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona Women 65.99%
    Wolfsburg Women 15.94%
    Draw 18.07%
Barcelona WomenDrawWolfsburg Women
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.472 0.47)
2-0 @ 8.6% (2.089 2.09)
3-1 @ 7.66% (0.48 0.48)
1-0 @ 7.15% (1.66 1.66)
3-0 @ 6.9% (1.749 1.75)
4-1 @ 4.61% (0.349 0.35)
3-2 @ 4.25% (-0.752 -0.75)
4-0 @ 4.15% (1.096 1.1)
4-2 @ 2.56% (-0.41 -0.41)
5-1 @ 2.22% (0.196 0.2)
5-0 @ 2% (0.548 0.55)
5-2 @ 1.23% (-0.177 -0.18)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.433 -0.43)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 65.99%
1-1 @ 7.93% (0.285 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-1.026 -1.03)
0-0 @ 2.97% (0.658 0.66)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.752 -0.75)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 18.07%
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.928 -0.93)
0-1 @ 3.3% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.979 -0.98)
0-2 @ 1.83% (-0.417 -0.42)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.848 -0.85)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 15.94%

How you voted: Barcelona vs Wolfsburg

Barcelona Women
60.6%
Draw
24.2%
Wolfsburg Women
15.2%
33
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 5pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Wolfsburg
2-0
Barcelona
Wassmuth (47'), Roord (59')
Lattwein (55'), Huth (62'), Rauch (90+4')

Hermoso (58')
Apr 22, 2022 5.45pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Barcelona
5-1
Wolfsburg
Bonmati (3'), Graham Hansen (10'), Hermoso (33'), Putellas (38', 85' pen.)
Roord (70')
Pajor (64'), Bloodworth (84')
rhs 2.0
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