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Women's Super League | Gameweek 8
Nov 17, 2024 at 2pm UK
Villa Park

Aston Villa
3 - 2
Crystal Palace

Patten (40'), Daly (45+5'), Salmon (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cato (30'), Blanchard (86')
Woodham (45+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Crystal Palace Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Last Game: Man Utd 0-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, November 10 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League

Crystal Palace Women

All competitions
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-1 Everton
Sunday, November 10 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Aston Villa Women 1-1 Crystal Palace Women

 Villa will be looking to end the wait for their first league win of the season, but we think that they may be held to a frustrating draw, especially as Palace have managed to avoid defeat in their last two away WSL matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Crystal Palace Women had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Women win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawCrystal Palace Women
45.84% (0.251 0.25) 23.03% (-0.116 -0.12) 31.12% (-0.135 -0.14)
Both teams to score 63.22% (0.355 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.18% (0.498 0.5)37.82% (-0.498 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.93% (0.531 0.53)60.07% (-0.53 -0.53)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.09% (0.291 0.29)16.91% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.04% (0.514 0.51)46.96% (-0.513 -0.51)
Crystal Palace Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.09% (0.164 0.16)23.91% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.87% (0.23099999999999 0.23)58.12% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 45.84%
    Crystal Palace Women 31.12%
    Draw 23.03%
Aston Villa WomenDrawCrystal Palace Women
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.19% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.41% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.041 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 45.84%
1-1 @ 10.28% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.54% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.04% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.78% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 3.12% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.12%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace

Aston Villa Women
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Crystal Palace Women
14.3%
7
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