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Women's Super League | Gameweek 3
Sep 25, 2022 at 3pm UK
 

Leicester Women
0 - 2
Aston Villa

FT(HT: 0-1)
Daly (3' pen.), Gielnik (86')
Lehmann (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Leicester Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester Women 1-2 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, September 18 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-3 Man City Women
Sunday, September 18 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Leicester Women 1-3 Aston Villa Women

After beginning the season with a superb 4-3 win over Manchester City, we think that Aston Villa will claim another victory on Sunday when they face a Leicester side who they have beaten in their three previous meetings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Leicester Women had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Leicester Women win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.

Result
Leicester WomenDrawAston Villa Women
30.66% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.89% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 43.45% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)50.94% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)72.81% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.28% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)30.72% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.03% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)66.97% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (0.0040000000000049 0)23.32% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)57.27% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leicester Women 30.66%
    Aston Villa Women 43.44%
    Draw 25.88%
Leicester WomenDrawAston Villa Women
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.27% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 4.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 30.66%
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 10.42%
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 7.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 3.68% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.57%
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 43.44%

How you voted: Leicester Women vs Aston Villa

Leicester Women
0.0%
Draw
33.3%
Aston Villa Women
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 2pm
Leicester Women
1-2
Aston Villa
Hampton (76' og.)
Purfield (4' og.), Lehmann (90+3')
Hayles (31'), Hampton (77')
Sep 4, 2021 12.30pm
Aston Villa
2-1
Leicester Women
Mayling (63'), Allen (64')
Hutton (36'), Asante (59')
Jane Flint (39')
Tierney (68'), McManus (82'), Brougham (84')
rhs 2.0
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