Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 17.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-0 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.