We said: Australia 1-0 Palestine
Palestine gave Australia a tough time in the last meeting between the two with Arnold's side narrowly winning that game, and we expect this match will play out in a similar fashion.
The hosts are undefeated at home since a 2-1 loss to Ecuador in March 2023, and we expect them to continue their home form with a victory here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Palestine had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Palestine win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.