MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 03:31:28| >> :600:105145:105145:
World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Lebanon national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 26, 2024 at 8.45am UK
Saida International Stadium
Australia national football team

Lebanon
0 - 5
Australia


Lajud (46'), Tneich (51'), Khamis (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yengi (2'), Jradi (47' og.), Goodwin (48', 81'), Iredale (68')
Duke (12'), Silvera (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Lebanon and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lebanon

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Australia 2-0 Lebanon
Thursday, March 21 at 9.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Australia 2-0 Lebanon
Thursday, March 21 at 9.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Lebanon 0-3 Australia

 Lebanon fought hard to keep the first meeting tight last week, but Australia's quality shone through in a dominant display, and we envisage a similar showing and another three-point haul on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Lebanon win it was 1-0 (8%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.

Result
LebanonDrawAustralia
21.7% (-0.511 -0.51) 25.96% (-0.372 -0.37) 52.33% (0.884 0.88)
Both teams to score 45.5% (0.396 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.8% (0.83799999999999 0.84)57.2% (-0.834 -0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.94% (0.662 0.66)78.06% (-0.661 -0.66)
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.29% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)41.71% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.82% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)78.18% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.05% (0.735 0.73)21.94% (-0.734 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.77% (1.101 1.1)55.23% (-1.098 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    Lebanon 21.7%
    Australia 52.33%
    Draw 25.95%
LebanonDrawAustralia
1-0 @ 8% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-1 @ 5.31% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.5% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-1 @ 1.55% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.17% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 21.7%
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 9.15% (-0.296 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 13.88% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 10.52% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 9.21% (0.099 0.1)
0-3 @ 5.32% (0.177 0.18)
1-3 @ 4.65% (0.15 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.063 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.02% (0.11 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.76% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 52.33%

How you voted: Lebanon vs Australia

Lebanon
16.1%
Draw
9.7%
Australia
74.2%
31
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2024 9.10am
Second Round
Australia
2-0
Lebanon
Baccus (5'), Rowles (54')
Atkinson (61'), Baccus (78')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2018 8.30am
International Friendlies
Australia
3-0
Lebanon
Boyle (19', 41'), Leckie (68')
Sainsbury (82')

Jradi (70')
rhs 2.0
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