World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos
Chile2 - 0Peru
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chile 0-0 Colombia
Wednesday, September 13 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Wednesday, September 13 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Peru 0-1 Brazil
Wednesday, September 13 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Wednesday, September 13 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Chile 2-1 Peru
Both sides certainly have plenty of experience on this stage throughout their ranks and will be desperate for a first win of qualifying, but we see La Roja having slightly more quality running through their squad and fancy them to take all three points on home soil given the superior firepower. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 65.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Peru had a probability of 13.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.63%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Peru |
65.34% ( -0.85) | 21.62% ( 0.29) | 13.04% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 41.56% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
