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World Cup
China national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Nov 19, 2024 at 12am UK
Guangxi Sports Center
Japan national football team

China
vs.
Japan

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between China and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

China

All competitions
Last Game: Bahrain 0-1 China
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. China
Thursday, March 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Japan

All competitions
Last Game: Indonesia 0-4 Japan
Friday, November 15 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Japan vs. Bahrain
Thursday, March 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We say: China 0-4 Japan

 Japan have been dominant in Group C after five matches, including securing a 7-0 win against China in the reverse fixture in September, and we expect a similarly comfortable win for the visitors here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw has a probability of 16.5% and a win for China has a probability of 11.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 0-2 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.7%), while for a China win it is 2-1 (3.26%).

Result
ChinaDrawJapan
11.05% (-1.638 -1.64) 16.46% (-1.624 -1.62) 72.49% (3.262 3.26)
Both teams to score 52.19% (0.489 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.9% (3.362 3.36)36.1% (-3.361 -3.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.79% (3.597 3.6)58.21% (-3.597 -3.6)
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.15% (-0.502 -0.5)42.85% (0.502 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.84% (-0.426 -0.43)79.16% (0.426 0.43)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.32% (1.643 1.64)8.68% (-1.643 -1.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.12% (3.87 3.87)29.88% (-3.87 -3.87)
Score Analysis
    China 11.05%
    Japan 72.49%
    Draw 16.46%
ChinaDrawJapan
2-1 @ 3.26% (-0.4 -0.4)
1-0 @ 3.15% (-0.605 -0.61)
2-0 @ 1.34% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-2 @ 1.13% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 0.92% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 11.05%
1-1 @ 7.7% (-0.826 -0.83)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-0 @ 3.72% (-0.653 -0.65)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.46%
0-2 @ 11.1% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.837 -0.84)
0-3 @ 9.05% (0.519 0.52)
1-3 @ 7.67% (0.34 0.34)
0-4 @ 5.53% (0.687 0.69)
1-4 @ 4.69% (0.526 0.53)
2-3 @ 3.25% (0.101 0.1)
0-5 @ 2.71% (0.504 0.5)
1-5 @ 2.29% (0.401 0.4)
2-4 @ 1.99% (0.198 0.2)
0-6 @ 1.1% (0.269 0.27)
2-5 @ 0.97% (0.159 0.16)
1-6 @ 0.93% (0.218 0.22)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 72.49%

Who will win Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between China and Japan?

China
Draw
Japan
China
26.9%
Draw
12.8%
Japan
60.3%
78
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