World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 10, 2024 at 1pm UK
Beijing National Stadium
China1 - 2Saudi Arabia
Alawjami (14' og.)
Yuanyi (9'), Baihelamu (36'), Wenneng (45+7')
Yuanyi (9'), Baihelamu (36'), Wenneng (45+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Japan 7-0 China
Thursday, September 5 at 11.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Thursday, September 5 at 11.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-1 Indonesia
Thursday, September 5 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Thursday, September 5 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Thailand | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Oman | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan | 3 | -4 | 1 |
We said: China 0-1 Saudi Arabia
This is a tough match to call, as there should be a strong response from China after what happened last time out. Saudi Arabia were also disappointing in their last match, but we are expecting Mancini's side to navigate their way to an important three points on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 57.28%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for China had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a China win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| China | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
19.69% ( 0.03) | 23.02% ( 0.17) | 57.28% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.18% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
