MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:29:08| >> :120:82363:82363:
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World Cup
Saudi Arabia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 10, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
Japan national football team

Saudi Arabia
vs.
Japan

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
Last Game: China 1-2 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. Bahrain
Tuesday, October 15 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Japan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Bahrain 0-5 Japan
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Japan vs. Australia
Tuesday, October 15 at 11.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Saudi Arabia 0-1 Japan

 With two wins apiece from their last four meetings, we are expecting a close battle between Saudi Arabia and Japan in Jeddah on Thursday night. That being said, Samurai Blue's winning run since their Asian Cup disappointment is hard to ignore, so we are backing the visitors for three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 21.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawJapan
21.69% (1.505 1.51) 21.58% (-0.129 -0.13) 56.72% (-1.369 -1.37)
Both teams to score 59.09% (2.826 2.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.8% (2.636 2.64)39.2% (-2.63 -2.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.47% (2.707 2.71)61.53% (-2.701 -2.7)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (2.932 2.93)31.54% (-2.927 -2.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.06% (3.25 3.25)67.93% (-3.244 -3.24)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.31% (0.452 0.45)13.69% (-0.446 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.09% (0.885 0.88)40.91% (-0.879 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 21.69%
    Japan 56.72%
    Draw 21.58%
Saudi ArabiaDrawJapan
2-1 @ 5.72% (0.309 0.31)
1-0 @ 4.98% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-0 @ 2.87% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.2% (0.278 0.28)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.308 0.31)
3-0 @ 1.11% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 21.69%
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.244 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.393 0.39)
0-0 @ 4.32% (-0.554 -0.55)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.224 0.22)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.58%
1-2 @ 9.85% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.946 -0.95)
0-2 @ 8.54% (-0.788 -0.79)
1-3 @ 6.53% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 5.66% (-0.423 -0.42)
2-3 @ 3.77% (0.318 0.32)
1-4 @ 3.25% (0.078 0.08)
0-4 @ 2.81% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-4 @ 1.87% (0.185 0.19)
1-5 @ 1.29% (0.051 0.05)
0-5 @ 1.12% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 56.72%

How you voted: Saudi Arabia vs Japan

Saudi Arabia
14.1%
Draw
15.2%
Japan
70.7%
92
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 10.14am
Third Round
Japan
2-0
Saudi Arabia
Minamino (32'), Ito (50')
Itakura (21')

Albulayhi (4'), Babhir (74')
> Preview
Oct 7, 2021 6pm
Third Round
Saudi Arabia
1-0
Japan
Albirakan (71')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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