Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Samoa and New Zealand.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vanuatu 4-1 Samoa
Saturday, October 12 at 4am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Saturday, October 12 at 4am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Next Game: Samoa vs. Tahiti
Friday, November 15 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Friday, November 15 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: New Zealand 4-0 Malaysia
Monday, October 14 at 7am in International Friendlies
Monday, October 14 at 7am in International Friendlies
Next Game: New Zealand vs. Vanuatu
Friday, November 15 at 6.30am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Friday, November 15 at 6.30am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Russia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New Zealand win with a probability of 81.87%. A draw has a probability of 11.4% and a win for Samoa has a probability of 6.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win is 0-3 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-3 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.03%), while for a Samoa win it is 2-1 (2.1%).
| Result | ||
| Samoa | Draw | New Zealand |
6.78% ( -0.54) | 11.35% ( -0.43) | 81.87% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 54.15% ( -1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
