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Arminia Bielefeld logos
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 13, 2022 at 12pm UK
Bielefelder Alm
Hamburg logo

Arminia Bielefeld
0 - 2
Hamburger SV


Vasiliadis (30'), Hack (64'), Bello (76'), Husing (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Konigsdorffer (28'), Benes (74')
Heyer (52')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Arminia Bielefeld and Hamburger SV.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-0 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
Arminia BielefeldDrawHamburger SV
19.26% (0.965 0.97) 22.03% (0.441 0.44) 58.7% (-1.407 -1.41)
Both teams to score 53.62% (0.293 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.41% (-0.469 -0.47)44.58% (0.469 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.05% (-0.457 -0.46)66.95% (0.456 0.46)
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.98% (0.784 0.78)37.02% (-0.784 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.19% (0.77 0.77)73.8% (-0.771 -0.77)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.14% (-0.602 -0.6)14.86% (0.601 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.81% (-1.159 -1.16)43.18% (1.158 1.16)
Score Analysis
    Arminia Bielefeld 19.26%
    Hamburger SV 58.7%
    Draw 22.03%
Arminia BielefeldDrawHamburger SV
1-0 @ 5.47% (0.223 0.22)
2-1 @ 5.18% (0.211 0.21)
2-0 @ 2.72% (0.166 0.17)
3-1 @ 1.72% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 19.26%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.03%
0-1 @ 10.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-2 @ 9.94% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.35% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-3 @ 6.32% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 3.03% (-0.204 -0.2)
1-4 @ 3.01% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.16% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-5 @ 1.15% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 58.7%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2019 7.30pm
Feb 2, 2019 12pm
Aug 27, 2018 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Hamburger SV1997343251834
2FC Koln1910453324934
3Magdeburg198833627932
4KaiserslauternKaiserslautern199553630632
5Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf198653327630
6Hannover189362317630
7Karlsruher SCKarlsruher198563736129
8Elversberg198473328528
9SC PaderbornSC Paderborn187743026428
10SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt186753831725
11Nuremberg197483434025
12Hertha Berlin197483131025
13Schalke 04Schalke196673534124
14Greuther Furth195592739-1220
15Preussen Munster184772024-419
16Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig1936101737-2015
17SSV UlmUlm182881722-514
18Jahn RegensburgJahn183213940-3111


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