We said: Nice 1-2 Marseille
After putting their Europa League dreams to bed on Thursday night, Nice will be looking for a Ligue 1 pick-me-up against Marseille this weekend. Le Gym are eight games unbeaten at their own patch in the league, although we feel that run will be halted when Les Olympiens come to town. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Nice had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Marseille |
28.55% ( -0.04) | 24.43% ( -0.24) | 47.02% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 56.64% ( 0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.23% ( 1.02) | 45.77% ( -1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.91% ( 0.96) | 68.09% ( -0.96) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.42% ( 0.5) | 29.58% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.39% ( 0.6) | 65.61% ( -0.6) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.43% ( 0.52) | 19.57% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.52% ( 0.85) | 51.48% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
Nice 28.55%
Marseille 47.02%
Draw 24.43%
| Nice | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 3.29% Total : 28.55% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.04% Total : 47.02% |
How you voted: Nice vs Marseille
Nice
27.8%Draw
22.8%Marseille
49.4%79
