La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 26, 2025 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano2 - 1Girona
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Osasuna 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, January 19 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, January 19 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
23
We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Girona
Rayo have shared the points on three occasions at home this season, while Girona have three away draws to their name, and we are predicting another stalemate here; Rayo will certainly be the fresher of the two teams, but we are expecting Girona to be good enough to avoid defeat in the capital on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Girona had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Girona |
36.83% ( 1.31) | 26.91% ( -0.21) | 36.26% ( -1.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.21% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
