MX23RW : Sunday, January 26 07:06:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
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Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Montpellier

Toulouse
vs.
Montpellier

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Toulouse
Saturday, January 18 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

We say: Toulouse 3-0 Montpellier HSC

Despite having a good season, scoring goals has been an issue for the hosts so far this campaign. However, they are coming up against the worst defence in Ligue 1, so they should be able to score a few here in a comfortable home win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toulouse win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw has a probability of 24.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC has a probability of 20.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it is 0-1 (6.98%).

Result
ToulouseDrawMontpellier HSC
54.66% (-0.787 -0.79) 24.4% (0.338 0.34) 20.94% (0.45 0.45)
Both teams to score 48.86% (-0.356 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.76% (-0.802 -0.8)52.24% (0.805 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.06% (-0.694 -0.69)73.94% (0.69799999999999 0.7)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.97% (-0.602 -0.6)19.03% (0.604 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.4% (-1.011 -1.01)50.6% (1.013 1.01)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.35% (0.010999999999996 0.01)39.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.67% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)76.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 54.64%
    Montpellier HSC 20.94%
    Draw 24.4%
ToulouseDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 12.51% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 10.38% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.75% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.31% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 54.64%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.54% (0.237 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 6.98% (0.222 0.22)
1-2 @ 5.36% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.65% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 20.94%

Who will win Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Montpellier?

Toulouse
Draw
Montpellier HSC
Toulouse
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Montpellier HSC
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 9
Montpellier
0-3
Toulouse

Nordin (45+2')
Savanier (51')
Aboukhlal (5', 8'), King (27')
Casseres Jr (59'), McKenzie (66')
May 3, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 32
Toulouse
1-2
Montpellier
Dallinga (34')
Nicolaisen (54'), Diarra (60')
Nicolaisen (83')
Savanier (27'), Fayad (81')
Savanier (26'), Leroy (44'), Karamoh (90+5'), Fayad (90+6')
Savanier (65')
Oct 29, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 10
Montpellier
3-0
Toulouse
Adams (13', 72'), Fayad (63')
Fayad (30'), Kouyate (45+2')

Suazo (34'), Magri (38'), Schmidt (63')
Apr 9, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 30
Montpellier
1-2
Toulouse
Wahi (88')
Dallinga (31'), Chaibi (85')
Oct 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 9
Toulouse
4-2
Montpellier
Spierings (18'), Aboukhlal (24'), Chaibi (31'), Dejaegere (48')
Cozza (7'), Wahi (68')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG19145049173247
2Marseille18114340211937
3MonacoMonaco19104532221034
4Lille1988329191032
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8StrasbourgStrasbourg197663331227
9Toulouse187471919025
10Brest188192831-325
11Auxerre196582529-423
12Reims195772527-222
13Angers186482127-622
14Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1953111839-2118
15Rennes1952122630-417
16NantesNantes183872128-717
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


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