Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Leganes |
51.15% ( 0.09) | 25.69% ( -0.04) | 23.17% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 47.92% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.1% ( 0.1) | 54.9% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.81% ( 0.08) | 76.19% ( -0.08) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.5% ( 0.08) | 21.5% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.45% ( 0.11) | 54.55% ( -0.11) |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.05% ( 0.01) | 38.95% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.32% ( 0.01) | 75.68% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Leganes |
1-0 @ 12.87% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 51.15% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 1.47% Total : 23.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 32 |
7 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |