Australian A-League | Gameweek 2
Oct 29, 2023 at 6am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Victory5 - 3Newcastle Jets
Fornaroli (8', 31', 40' pen., 45+3'), Velupillay (55')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Newcastle Jets.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sydney FC 0-2 Victory
Saturday, October 21 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, October 21 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-2 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, October 22 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Sunday, October 22 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
49.42% ( 0.78) | 23.97% ( -0.15) | 26.6% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 56.64% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
