Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Western Sydney Wanderers in this match.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
41.33% (![]() | 24.21% (![]() | 34.46% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.74% (![]() | 42.26% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.34% (![]() | 64.66% (![]() |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.39% (![]() | 20.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.84% (![]() | 53.15% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.9% (![]() | 24.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.61% (![]() | 58.39% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 8.82% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.84% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 2.85% Total : 41.33% | 1-1 @ 11.16% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 7.94% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.07% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.03% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.77% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 36 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 31 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 28 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 27 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 25 |
7 | Macarthur | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 25 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 25 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 21 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 18 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 41 | -29 | 10 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 6 |
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