Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.22%) and 2-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.