Australian A-League | Gameweek 22
Apr 1, 2023 at 3am UK
Westpac Stadium
Wellington1 - 2Victory
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Adelaide United 5-1 Wellington
Friday, March 17 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Friday, March 17 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
34
Last Game: Victory 2-0 Central Coast
Sunday, March 19 at 6am in Australian A-League
Sunday, March 19 at 6am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
23
We said: Wellington Phoenix 1-1 Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix might be the favourites heading into this one due to their league position, but with the visitors having secured a win last weekend and with more to fight for, they could secure a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
34.43% ( -0.38) | 25.08% ( 0.07) | 40.49% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 57.15% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
