Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western United |
48.32% ( 0.55) | 23.53% ( -0.15) | 28.14% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 59.43% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.03% ( 0.4) | 41.96% ( -0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.63% ( 0.4) | 64.37% ( -0.41) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.44% ( 0.37) | 17.56% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.9% ( 0.64) | 48.1% ( -0.65) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.08% ( -0.08) | 27.91% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.46% ( -0.1) | 63.53% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.84% Total : 48.32% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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