Africa Cup of Nations | Third-Place Playoff
Feb 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Amitie
South Africa0 - 0Congo DR
FT
Tshibola (28')
South Africa win 6-5 on penalties
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nigeria 1-1 South Africa (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, February 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Wednesday, February 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
We said: South Africa 1-2 Congo DR
Having played 120 minutes in consecutive games, South Africa running out of gas could be exploited by DR Congo to claim third in the continental showpiece. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 44.93%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 25.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.12%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | Congo DR |
| 44.93% | 29.81% | 25.26% |
| Both teams to score 39.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
