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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Nigeria national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Semi-Finals
Feb 7, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de Bouake
South Africa national football team

Nigeria
1 - 1
South Africa

Troost-Ekong (67' pen.)
Onyeka (101'), Troost-Ekong (120')
FT
(aet)
Mokoena (90' pen.)
Kekana (115')
Nigeria win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Nigeria and South Africa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Nigeria 1-0 Angola
Friday, February 2 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

South Africa

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Cape Verde 0-0 South Africa (1-2 pen.)
Saturday, February 3 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We say: Nigeria 1-0 South Africa

 Nigeria have not only had an extra day to recover before Wednesday's fixture with South Africa in Bouake, they have also navigated the knockout rounds without needing extra time or penalties to advance, giving Peseiro's side the slight physical edge needed in the semis to advance to the competition's decider. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 64.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 12.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.04%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (5.69%).

Result
NigeriaDrawSouth Africa
64.83%22.29%12.89%
Both teams to score 39.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.71%56.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.67%77.33%
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.18%16.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.19%46.81%
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.46%52.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.65%86.35%
Score Analysis
    Nigeria 64.82%
    South Africa 12.89%
    Draw 22.29%
NigeriaDrawSouth Africa
1-0 @ 15.75%
2-0 @ 14.04%
2-1 @ 9.04%
3-0 @ 8.34%
3-1 @ 5.37%
4-0 @ 3.72%
4-1 @ 2.39%
3-2 @ 1.73%
5-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 64.82%
1-1 @ 10.14%
0-0 @ 8.84%
2-2 @ 2.91%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.29%
0-1 @ 5.69%
1-2 @ 3.26%
0-2 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 12.89%

How you voted: Nigeria vs South Africa

Nigeria
68.9%
South Africa
31.1%
177
Head to Head
Jul 10, 2019 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Nigeria
2-1
South Africa
> Match Report
Jan 19, 2014 5pm
Group Stage
Nigeria
3-1
South Africa
Uzoenyi (22', 64'), Ede (32')
Agbim (50'), Kwambe (73'), Shehu (78')
Kwambe (74')
Parker (81')
Josephs (31'), Mere (42')
Mere (76')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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