Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 64.39%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Norrkoping would win this match.