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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 22, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
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Bayern
vs.
Augsburg

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-1 Bayern
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Augsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 0-0 Hoffenheim
Sunday, November 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We say: Bayern Munich 3-1 Augsburg

 While Bayern have only won by narrow margins in their last two games, they have been rampant in front of goal all season, and it would not be surprising if they netted multiple times. Given the hosts will not be able to select a specialist defensive midfielder, Augsburg could create chances in transition, but the Bavarians should still come into Friday's clash as strong favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 83.35%. A draw has a probability of 10.7% and a win for Augsburg has a probability of 5.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 3-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.59%) and 4-0 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (4.78%), while for an Augsburg win it is 1-2 (1.89%).

Result
Bayern MunichDrawAugsburg
83.35% (-1.739 -1.74) 10.66% (1.008 1.01) 5.99% (0.727 0.73)
Both teams to score 52.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.56% (-2.188 -2.19)24.44% (2.184 2.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.82% (-2.94 -2.94)44.18% (2.937 2.94)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.79% (-0.62 -0.62)4.21% (0.6181 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.45% (-2.01 -2.01)17.55% (2.007 2.01)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.61% (0.328 0.33)45.39% (-0.33199999999999 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.75% (0.258 0.26)81.24% (-0.26100000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 83.35%
    Augsburg 5.99%
    Draw 10.66%
Bayern MunichDrawAugsburg
3-0 @ 10.12% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.59% (0.502 0.5)
4-0 @ 8.02% (-0.362 -0.36)
3-1 @ 8% (0.111 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.463 0.46)
4-1 @ 6.33% (-0.225 -0.23)
1-0 @ 6.05% (0.591 0.59)
5-0 @ 5.08% (-0.496 -0.5)
5-1 @ 4.01% (-0.351 -0.35)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.073 0.07)
6-0 @ 2.68% (-0.409 -0.41)
4-2 @ 2.5% (-0.065 -0.07)
6-1 @ 2.12% (-0.301 -0.3)
5-2 @ 1.58% (-0.123 -0.12)
7-0 @ 1.21% (-0.255 -0.26)
7-1 @ 0.96% (-0.191 -0.19)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 83.35%
1-1 @ 4.78% (0.506 0.51)
2-2 @ 2.99% (0.209 0.21)
0-0 @ 1.91% (0.269 0.27)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 10.66%
1-2 @ 1.89% (0.215 0.22)
0-1 @ 1.51% (0.224 0.22)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 5.99%

Who will win Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern and Augsburg?

Bayern Munich
Draw
Augsburg
Bayern Munich
92.3%
Draw
7.7%
Augsburg
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Augsburg
2-3
Bayern
Demirovic (52', 90+4' pen.)
Mbabu (19'), Iago (69')
Pavlovic (23'), Davies (45+5'), Kane (58')
de Ligt (6'), Pavlovic (67'), Sane (80'), Guerreiro (90+6'), Goretzka (90+7'), Neuer (90+8')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
3-1
Augsburg
Uduokhai (32' og.), Kane (40' pen., 69')
Gravenberch (83')
Beljo (86')
Rexhbecaj (56'), Cardona (79')
> Preview
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Bayern
5-3
Augsburg
Cancelo (15'), Pavard (18', 35'), Sane (45'), Davies (74')
Berisha (2', 60'), Cardona (90+3')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Augsburg
2-5
Bayern
Pedersen (9'), Upamecano (65' og.)
Maxim Choupo-Moting (27', 59'), Kimmich (53'), Musiala (74'), Davies (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Augsburg
1-0
Bayern
Berisha (59')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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