Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra
Belgrano2 - 1Estudiantes
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Estudiantes.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Belgrano 0-0 Rosario
Friday, July 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, July 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Goias 0-2 Estudiantes
Wednesday, August 9 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, August 9 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 35.25%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.94%) and 2-1 (6.85%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (13.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.
Result | ||
Belgrano | Draw | Estudiantes |
35.25% ( -0.11) | 30.85% ( 0.1) | 33.9% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 39.94% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.32% ( -0.29) | 67.68% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.28% ( -0.2) | 85.72% ( 0.19) |
Belgrano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.67% ( -0.23) | 36.32% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.89% ( -0.24) | 73.11% ( 0.23) |
Estudiantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.73% ( -0.16) | 37.27% ( 0.16) |