We said: River Plate 2-1 Gimnasia
Gimnasia have recently lost their momentum, claiming just one point from their last two outings, which will provide River Plate with confidence heading into Thursday's contest.
The hosts have struggled for consistency so far this term, but we can see them coming away with a slender victory on this occasion.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 73.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 9.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.85%) and 3-0 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.