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Bournemouth logo
Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Dean Court
Swansea logo

Bournemouth
4 - 0
Swansea

Solanke (25', 49'), Anthony (64', 90+3')
Billing (29'), Solanke (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Downes (30'), Bennett (39'), Ntcham (53')

Preview: Bournemouth vs. Swansea City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Championship leaders Bournemouth will be aiming to bounce back from their first league defeat of the season when they host Swansea City.

The Cherries were beaten by Preston North End on Wednesday but still have a two-point lead at the top of the table, while the Swans currently sit 11th.


Match preview

Bournemouth's Lloyd Kelly celebrates scoring their third goal with teammates on October 23, 2021© Reuters

It was going to happen at some point, but not many would have thought that Bournemouth's first loss of the campaign would come at home against an inconsistent Preston side.

The 2-1 defeat brought to an end the Cherries' 16-game unbeaten run and also halted their five-match winning streak that had seen them pencilled in as promotion winners with just three months of the season gone.

It was also the first time they had conceded more than once in a game since August and at the other end of the pitch, Dominic Solanke failed to net for the first time in four matches.

Scott Parker emphasised that his team's reaction to the defeat was the most important thing and Bournemouth's promotion credentials will certainly be measured by their ability to bounce back.

The Cherries are unbeaten in their last nine matches against Swansea, with the Welsh side last tasting victory in this fixture in October 2007 when the two teams were in League One.

Swansea City's Joel Piroe celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on October 17, 2021© Reuters

The two clubs were both beaten in the playoffs last season before changing managers in the summer, but while Bournemouth have excelled under Parker, Swansea have taken a little while to find their feet under new boss Russell Martin.

Things now appear to be clicking into place in South Wales though, with the Swans winning four of their last five matches to rise to within two points of the top six.

Martin's men became the first team to win away at Coventry City this season when early goals from Jamie Paterson and Joel Piroe helped secure a 2-1 victory in the West Midlands on Tuesday.

It was only the Swans' second away win of the campaign and the first time they had picked up three points on the road since August.

Martin has said that his team are "heading in the right direction" and now they are on the hunt for three consecutive league victories for the first time since August 2019.

Bournemouth Championship form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

Swansea City Championship form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W



Team News

Bournemouth manager Scott Parker before the match on September 11, 2021© Reuters

Bournemouth remain without Jordan Zemura, who has an ankle injury, so Chris Mepham is likely to deputise again at left-back.

Alternatively, Leif Davis could take up that position if he is able to return from illness or Parker may turn to Robbie Brady, who is yet to feature since signing last month.

Twenty-one-year-old pair Gavin Kilkenny and Jaidon Anthony are in contention to return to the starting lineup after dropping to the bench in midweek.

Although this is the third game in the space of a week, Martin could be tempted to name an unchanged side once again after winning the last two matches with the same XI.

Piroe has netted four goals and registered two assists in his last five matches, but has only found the net once in his last four away games.

Ryan Bennett's yellow card against Coventry in midweek means he is one booking away from incurring a one-match suspension.

Bournemouth possible starting lineup:
Travers; Stacey, Cahill, Kelly, Mepham; Lerma, Kilkenny, Billing; Christie, Solanke, Anthony

Swansea City possible starting lineup:
Hamer; Bennett, Naughton, Manning; Laird, Smith, Grimes, Bidwell; Ntcham, Paterson; Piroe


SM words green background

We say: Bournemouth 1-1 Swansea City

It will be interesting to see how Bournemouth react to their first defeat, particularly against an in-form Swansea side. The Cherries have actually looked slightly less solid at home than away this season and we think they could drop points again in a draw.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



ID:469233:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8942:
Written by
Olly Allen

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 24.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Swansea

Bournemouth
73.6%
Draw
18.1%
Swansea City
8.3%
72
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