Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Aug 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Raimundo Sampaio
America Mineiro2 - 1Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between America Mineiro and Sao Paulo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-3 Fortaleza
Thursday, August 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, August 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: LDU Quito 2-1 Sao Paulo
Thursday, August 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, August 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
America Mineiro | Draw | Sao Paulo |
34.17% ( 0.15) | 26.42% ( 0.01) | 39.41% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 52.56% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.81% ( -0.02) | 52.19% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.1% ( -0.02) | 73.9% ( 0.02) |
America Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.98% ( 0.09) | 29.02% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.08% ( 0.11) | 64.92% ( -0.11) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.05% ( -0.1) | 25.95% ( 0.1) |